Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Third Tony Predictions

As the Tony's approach this Sunday night, I thought it would be good to update my predictions again, and I will probably update once or twice more before the day of the event.

Best Play:
Will Win: War Horse
Should Win: Good People
Dark Horse: Good People

Best Musical:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Scottsboro Boys
Dark Horse: Scottsboro Boys

Book of a Musical:
Will Win: Book of Mormon
Should Win: Book of Mormon
Dark Horse: Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson


Score:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: The Book of Mormon
Dark Horse: Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown

Revival of a Play:
Will Win: The Normal Heart
Should Win: Merchant of Venice
Dark Horse: The Importance of Being Earnest

Revival of a Musical:
Will Win: Anything Goes
Should Win: Anything Goes
Dark Horse: How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying

Lead Actor in a Play:
Will Win: Bobby Cannavale, The Motherfucker With the Hat
Should Win: Mark Rylance, Jerusalem
Dark Horse: Joe Mantello, The Normal Heart

Lead Actress in a Play:
Will Win: Frances McDormand, Good People
Should Win: Lily Rabe, The Merchant of Venice
Dark Horse: Hannah Yelland, Brief Encounter

Lead Actor in a Musical:
Will Win: Josh Gad, The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Tony Sheldon, Priscilla Queen of the Desert
Dark Horse: Norbert Leo Butz, Catch Me If You Can

Lead Actress in a Musical:
Will Win: Sutton Foster, Anything Goes
Should Win: Sutton Foster, Anything Goes
Dark Horse: Patina Miller, Sister Act

Featured Actor in a Play:
Will Win: Mackenzie Crook, Jerusalem
Should Win: Arian Moayed, Bengal Tiger at the Baghdad Zoo
Dark Horse: John Benjamin Hickey, The Normal Heart

Featured Actress in a Play:
Will Win: Edie Falco, The House of Blue Leaves
Should Win: Judith Light, Lombardi
Dark Horse: Ellen Barkin, The Normal Heart

Featured Actor in a Musical:
Will Win: Coleman Domingo for The Scottsboro Boys
Should Win: Coleman Domingo, The Scottsboro Boys
Dark Horse: John Larroquette, How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying

Featured Actress in a Musical:
Will Win: Nikki James, The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Laura Benanti, Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown
Dark Horse: Patti LuPone, Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown

Scenic Design of a Play:
Will Win: War Horse
Should Win: War Horse
Dark Horse: The Merchant of Venice

Scenic Design of a Musical:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Scottsboro Boys
Dark Horse: Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson

Costume Design of a Play:
Will Win: Born Yesterday
Should Win: Born Yesterday
Dark Horse: The Importance of Being Earnest

Costume Design of a Musical:
Will Win: Priscilla Queen of the Desert
Should Win: Priscilla Queen of the Desert
Dark Horse: The Book of Mormon

Lighting Design of a Play:
Will Win: War Horse
Should Win: War Horse
Dark Horse: Bengal Tiger at the Baghdad Zoo

Lighting Design of a Musical:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: The Scottsboro Boys
Dark Horse: How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying

Sound Design of a Play:
Will Win: Jerusalem
Should Win: Bengal Tiger at the Baghdad Zoo
Dark Horse: Brief Encounter

Sound Design of a Musical:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: The Book of Mormon
Dark Horse: Catch Me if You Can

Director of a Play:
Will Win: Joel Grey and George C. Wolfe, The Normal Heart
Should Win: Anna D. Shapiro, The Motherfucker With the Hat
Dark Horse: Anna D. Shapiro, The Motherfucker With the Hat

Director of a Musical:
Will Win: Casey Nicholaw and Trey Parker, The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Casey Nicholaw and Trey Parker, The Book of Mormon
Dark Horse: Susan Stroman, The Scottsboro Boys

Choreography:
Will Win: Casey Nicholaw, The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Casey Nicholaw, The Book of Mormon
Dark Horse: Kathleen Marshall, Anything Goes

Orchestrations:
Will Win: The Book of Mormon
Should Win: Anything Goes
Dark Horse: Catch Me if You Can

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