Thursday, February 11, 2010

Second Nomination Predictions

Based on the recent eligibility decisions released by the Tony Awards nomination committee, I have slightly edited my first round of predictions.  The only difference between these predictions and my previous ones results from both Jessica Hecht and Scarlett Johansson being deemed eligible in the supporting/featured actress category, while I had predicted Hecht would be in the leading actress category. As a result, I have moved Valerie Harper into the slot I had reserved for Hecht and added Hecht into a supporting actress slot, bumping Harriet Harris (a previous Tony winner for "Thoroughly Modern Millie" back in 2002) of "Present Laughter" down to major threat status.  The new predictions are:


New Play
A Behanding in Spokane
Time Stands Still
Superior Donuts
Race
Major Threats: In the Next Room … or the Vibrator Play, A Steady Rain

Play Revival
A View From the Bridge
Present Laughter
The Royal Family
Miracle Worker
Major Threats: Brighton Beach Memoirs, Hamlet, Fences

New Musical
Memphis
Fela!
Addams Family
Come Fly Away
Major Threat:  Million Dollar Quartet

Musical Revival
Finian’s Rainbow
Ragtime
A Little Night Music
La Cage Aux Folles
Major Threat: Promises, Promises

Book of a Musical
Memphis
Fela!
Million Dollar Quartet
Addams Family

Score of a Musical
Fela!
Memphis
Addams Family
* Since the remaining new musicals all have scores that derive from previously released music, they are ineligible for a best score nomination.  Otherwise, there would be 4 nominees in this category.

Director of a Play
Gregory Mosher, A View From the Bridge
Daniel Sullivan, Time Stands Still
Tina Landau, Superior Donuts
David Cromer, Brighton Beach Memoirs
Major Threats:  Kate Whoriskey – Miracle Worker, Michael Grandage – Hamlet, David Mamet – Race

Director of a Musical
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Warren Carlyle – Finian’s Rainbow
Marcia Milgrom Dodge, Ragtime
Trevor Nunn – A Little Night Music
Major Threats: Terry Johnson – La Cage Aux Folles, Eric Schaeffer – Million Dollar Quartet

Choreography
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away
Sergio Trujillo, Memphis
Warren Carlyle – Finian’s Rainbow
Major Threat: Lynne Page – La Cage Aux Folles

Orchestrations
Fela!
A Little Night Music
Ragtime
Million Dollar Quartet
Major Threats: Memphis, The Addams Family, Finian’s Rainbow, La Cage Aux Folles

Lead Actor in a Play
Brian d’Arcy James, Time Stands Still
Victor Garber, Present Laughter
Liev Schreiber, A View From the Bridge
Jude Law, Hamlet
Michael McKean, Superior Donuts
Major Threats: James Spader – Race, Michael Cerveris -- In the Next Room … or the Vibrator Play
On the Outside:  Daniel Craig and Hugh Jackman – A Steady Rain

Lead Actress in a Play
Valerie Harper, Looped
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
Alison Pill, The Miracle Worker
Laurie Metcalf, Brighton Beach Memoirs
Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family
Major Threats: Laura Benanti – In the Next Room … or the Vibrator Play, Viola Davis, Fences, Megan Mullally – Lips Together, Teeth Apart

Featured Actor in a Play
Eric Bogosian, Time Stands Still
Bruce Ashmanskas, Present Laughter
Reg Rogers, The Royal Family
Michael Cristofer, A View From the Bridge
Santino Fontana, Brighton Beach Memoirs

Featured Actress in a Play
Alicia Silverstone, Time Stands Still
Scarlett Johansson, A View From the Bridge
Jessica Hecht, A View From the Bridge
Abigail Breslin, The Miracle Worker
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Fmily
Major Threats: Kerry Washington – Race, Harriet Harris and Lisa Banes – Present Laughter


Lead Actor in a Musical
Kevin Mambo and/or* Sahd Ngaujah, Fela!
Chad Kimball, Memphis
Quentin Earl Darrington, Ragtime
Nathan Lane, Addams Family
Alexander Hanson, A Little Night Music
Major Threats: Sean Hayes – Promises, Promises, Douglas Hodge or Kelsey Grammer – La Cage Aux Folles,

*These two actors alternate in the lead role of Fela Anikulapo-Kuti.  It is unclear to me at the moment if only one of them will be nominated or if they will share a single nomination the way the three boys in “Billy Elliot” did last year.

Lead Actress in a Musical
Montego Glover, Memphis
Kate Baldwin, Finian’s Rainbow
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music
Bebe Neuwirth, Addams Family
Christiane Noll, Ragtime
Major Threat: Kristen Chenoweth – Promises, Promises

Featured Actor in a Musical
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow
James Monroe Iglehart, Memphis
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Chuck Cooper – Finian’s Rainbow
Kevin Chamberlin, Addams Family

Featured Actress in a Musical
Lillias White, Fela!
Terri White, Finian’s Rainbow
Jackie Hoffman, Addams Family
Carolee Carmello, Addams Family
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music

Set Design of a Play
Present Laughter
A View From the Bridge
The Royal Family
Brighton Beach Memoirs
Major Threats: Race, Superior Donuts, A Behanding in Spokane

Set Design of a Musical
Fela!
A Little Night Music
Finian’s Rainbow
Ragtime

Costume Design of a Play
Present Laughter
A View From the Bridge
The Royal Family
Brighton Beach Memoirs
Major Threat:  In the Next Room … or the Vibrator Play

Costume Design of a Musical
Fela!
A Little Night Music
Finian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
Major Threat: Addams Family

Lighting Design of a Play
A Behanding in Spokane
A View From the Bridge
Present Laughter
Miracle Worker
Major Threat: The Royal Family, Race

Lighting Design of a Musical
Fela!
A Little Night Music
Finian’s Rainbow
Ragtime

Sound Design of a Play
A View From the Bridge
Present Laughter
Brighton Beach Memours
Superior Donuts

Sound Design of a Musical
Ragtime
Fela!
La Cage Aux Folles
Addams Family

2 comments:

  1. mambo is not eligible.

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  2. Good to know. This sounds like the lead actress in a musical contest of 1980. Patti LuPone only played 6 shows per week in "Evita", with Terri Klausner taking on the demanding role of Eva Peron on Wednesday and Saturday matinees. Yet, come awards season, only Patti, who eventually won, was nominated for the award.

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