Final Tony Predictions

Tonight's the big night and I'm getting ready with popcorn for the Tony Awards ceremony.  The red carpet starts at 6, the Creative Arts Awards are at 7, and the big show is at 8.  In preparation, here are my final predictions for who will take home Tony gold this evening.  I have listed in each category what shows I think will win, a potential dark horse that could pull an upset, and the contender that I think should win the prize.

Best Play: Red
Should Win: Red
Potential Upset: Time Stands Still

Musical: Memphis
Should Win: Fela!
Potential Upset: American Idiot

Play Revival: Fences
Should Win: A View From the Bridge
Potential Upset: The Royal Family

Musical Revival: La Cage Aux Folles
Should Win: Finian's Rainbow
Potential Upset: Ragtime

Actor in a Play: Alfred Molina, Red
Should Win: Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
Potential Upset: Liev Schreiber, A View From the Bridge

Actress in a Play: Viola Davis, Fences
Should Win: Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
Potential Upset: Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family

Actor in a Musical: Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles
Should Win: Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folle
Potential Upset: Chad Kimball, Memphis

Actress in a Musical: Montego Glover, Memphis
Should Win: Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Potential Upset: Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

Featured Actor in a Play: Eddie Redmayne, Red
Should Win: Eddie Redmayne, Red
Potential Upset: Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts

Featured Actress in a Play: Scarlett Johansson, A View From the Bridge
Should Win: Jessica Hecht, A View From the Bridge
Potential Upset: Jan Maxwell, Lend Me A Tenor

Featured Actor in a Musical: Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Should Win: Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow
Potential Upset: Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet

Featured Actress in a Musical: Katie Fineran, Promises, Promises
Should Win: Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Potential Upset: Lilias White, Fela!

Book of a Musical: Memphis
Should Win: Everyday Rapture
Potential Upset: Fela!

Score: Memphis
Should Win: Memphis
Potential Upset: Fences

Director of a Play: Kenny Leon, Fences
Should Win: Sheryl Kaller, Next Fall
Potential Upset: Michael Grandage, Red

Director of a Musical: Terry Johnson, La Cage Aux Folles
Should Win: Marcia Milgrom Dodge, Ragtime
Potential Upset: Bill T. Jones, Fela!

Choreography: Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Should Win: Rob Ashford, Promises, Promises 
Potential Upset: Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away

Orchestrations: Daryl Waters and David Bryan, Memphis
Should Win: Jonathan Tunick, Promises, Promises
Potential Upset: Aaron Johnsonm Fela!

Set Design of a Play: Santo Loquasto, Fences
Should Win: Alexander Dodge, Present Laughter
Potential Upset: Alexander Dodge, Present Laughter

Set Design of a Musical: Derek McLane, Ragtime
Should Win: Derek McLane, Ragtime
Potential Upset: Marina Draghici, Fela!

Costume Design of a Play: Costanza Romero, Fences

Should Win: David Zinn, In the Next Room or the vibrator play

Potential Upset: Catherine Zuber, The Royal Family

Costume Design of a Musical: Matthew Wright, La Cage Aux Folles

Should Win: Paul Tazewell, Memphis

Potential Upset: Marina Draghici, Fela!

Lighting Design of a Play: Neil Austin, Red

Should Win: Neil Austin, Red

Potential Upset: Brian MacDevitt, Fences

Lighting Design of a Musical: Kevin Adams, American Idiot

Should Win: Donald Holder, Ragtime

Potential Upset: Robert Wierzel, Fela!

Sound Design of a Play: ACME Sound Partners, Fences

Should Win: ACME Sound Partners, Fences

Potential Upset: Adam Cork, Red

Sound Design of a Musical: Robert Kaplowitz, Fela!

Should Win: Robert Kaplowitz, Fela!

Potential Upset: Dan Moses Schreier and Gareth Owen, A Little Night Music