Saturday, June 9, 2012

Final Tony Predictions

The time has come for me to post my official Tony predictions for tomorrow's show. I have structured my predictions this year the same way I do every year.  For each category, I have listed who I think WILL win and who SHOULD win.  Sometimes these are the same thing and sometimes they are not.  I have also included for each category a Dark Horse.  This represents the nominated person or show in each category that has the best chance at staging an upset in that category.  In some cases (like Best Actor in a Play this year) there are two strong candidates in that category and, since I can only pick one to win, I used my best judgment as to which one that would be, but I didn't feel right not putting down that the other had a strong chance at the prize.  In other categories, one nominee seems to stand out as the clear winner, but I always like to hedge my bets and name an alternate.

So, without further ado, here are my predictions for the 2012 Tony Award Winners.


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Best Play
Will Win: Clybourne Park
Should Win: Other Desert Cities
Dark Horse: Peter and the Starcatcher

Best Musical
Will Win: Once
Should Win: Once
Dark Horse: Newsies

Book of a Musical
Will Win: Newsies
Should Win: Lysistrata Jones
Dark Horse: Once

Score
Will Win: Newsies
Should Win: Bonnie & Clyde
Dark Horse: One Man, Two Guvnors

Revival of a Play
Will Win: Death of a Salesman
Should Win: Death of a Salesman
Dark Horse: The Best Man

Revival of a Musical
Will Win: Porgy & Bess
Should Win: Follies
Dark Horse: Follies

Actor in a Play
Will Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Dark Horse: James Corden

Actress in a Play
Will Win: Nina Arianda
Should Win: Nina Arianda
Dark Horse: Tracie Bennett

Actor in a Musical
Will Win: Danny Burstein
Should Win: Danny Burstein
Dark Horse: Norm Lewis

Actress in a Musical
Will Win: Audra McDonald
Should Win: Cristin Milioti
Dark Horse: Kelli O’Hara

Featured Actor in a Play
Will Win: Christian Borle
Should Win: Michael Cumpsty
Dark Horse: Andrew Garfield

Featured Actress in a Play
Will Win: Linda Emond
Should Win: Judith Light
Dark Horse: Judith Light

Featured Actor in a Musical
Will Win: Michael McGrath
Should Win: Phlip Boykin
Dark Horse: David Alan Grier

Featured Actress in a Musical
Will Win: Judy Kaye
Should Win: Jessie Mueller
Dark Horse: Jane Houdyshell

Director of a Play
Will Win: Mike Nichols
Should Win: Roger Rees and Alex Timbers
Dark Horse: Roger Rees and Alex Timbers

Director of a Musical
Will Win: John Tiffany
Should Win: John Tiffany
Dark Horse: Diane Paulus

Choreography
Will Win: Chris Gattelli
Should Win: Stephen Hoggett
Dark Horse: Kathleen Marshall

Orchestrations
Will Win: Once
Should Win: Once
Dark Horse: Newsies

Scenic Design of a Play
Will Win: Peter and the Starcatcher
Should Win: Clybourne Park
Dark Horse: Clybourne Park

Scenic Design of a Musical
Will Win: Newsies
Should Win: Ghost
Dark Horse: Once

Costume Design of a Play
Will Win: Peter and the Starcatcher
Should Win: Don’t Dress for Dinner
Dark Horse: One Man, Two  Guvnors

Costume Design of a Musical
Will Win: Porgy & Bess
Should Win: Porgy & Bess
Dark Horse: Follies

Lighting Design of a Play
Will Win: Peter and the Starcatcher
Should Win: Death of a Salesman
Dark Horse: Death of a Salesman

Lighting Design of a Musical
Will Win: Once
Should Win: Once
Dark Horse: Ghost

Sound Design of a Play
Will Win: Death of a Salesman
Should Win: End of the Rainbow
Dark Horse: Peter and the Starcatcher

Sound Design of a Musical
Will Win: Once
Should Win: Once
Dark Horse: Follies

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