1st Tony Predictions

The Tony's are about a month away (32 days, to be exact) and it's time I put up my first round of Tony predictions.  As usual, I'm putting my guess as to who WILL win, who SHOULD win, and who I believe to be the dark horse in the category.

Best Play
Will Win:  Act One
Should Win: Mothers and Sons
Dark Horse: Outside Mullingar

Best Musical
Will Win: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Should Win: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Dark Horse: Aladdin

Best Book of a Musical
Will Win: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Should Win: Beautiful
Dark Horse: Beautiful

Best Score
Will Win: A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Should Win: Bridges of Madison County
Dark Horse: Aladdin

Best Revival of a Musical
Will Win: Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Should Win: Violet
Dark Horse: Violet

Best Revival of a Play
Will Win: 12th Night
Should Win: Glass Menagerie
Dark Horse: Glass Menagerie
The Cripple of Inishmaan

Best Actor in a Musical
Will Win: Neil Patrick Harris
Should Win: Neil Patrick Harris or Jefferson Mays
Dark Horse: Ramin Karimloo

Best Actress in a Musical
Will Win: Jessie Mueller
Should Win: Kelli O'Hara
Dark Horse: Mary Bridget Davies

Best Actor in a Play
Will Win:  Bryan Cranston
Should Win: Samuel Barnett
Dark Horse: Chris O'Dowd

Best Actress in a Play
Will Win: Tyne Daly
Should Win: Cherry Jones
Dark Horse: Estelle Parsons

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Will Win: Nick Cordero
Should Win: Danny Burstein
Dark Horse: Danny Burstein

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Will Win: Linda Emond
Should Win: Linda Emond
Dark Horse: Anika Larsen

Best Featured Actor in a Play
Will Win: Mark Rylance
Should Win: Reed Birney
Dark Horse: Reed Birney

Best Featured Actress in a Play
Will Win: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Should Win: Celia Keenan-Bolger
Dark Horse: Mare Winningham

Best Director of a Musical
Will Win: Warren Carlyle
Should Win: Darko Tresnjak
Dark Horse: Leigh Silverman

Best Director of a Play
Will Win: John Tiffany
Should Win: John Tiffany
Dark Horse: Tim Carroll

Best Choreography
Will Win: Stephen Hoggett and Kelly Devine
Should Win: Stephen Hoggett and Kelly Devine
Dark Horse: Casey Nicholaw

Best Orchestrations
Will Win: Steve Sidwell
Should Win: Jason Robert Brown
Dark Horse: Jonathan Tunick

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Will Win: Rocky
Should Win: Rocky
Dark Horse:  Hedwig and the Angry Inch

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Will Win: Machinal
Should Win: Machinal
Dark Horse: Glass Menagerie

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Will Win: A Genteleman's Guide to Love and Murder
Should Win: Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Dark Horse: Hedwig and the Angry Inch

Best Costume Design of a Play
Will Win: 12th Night
Should Win: Casa Valentina
Dark Horse: Casa Valentina

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Will Win: Rocky
Should Win: Bridges of Madison County
Dark Horse: After Midnight

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Will Win: Machinal
Should Win: Glass Menagerie
Dark Horse: Of Mice and Men

Best Sound Design of a Musical

Will Win: After Midnight
Should Win: After Midnight
Dark Horse: Beautiful

Best Sound Design of a Play
Will Win: Machinal
Should Win: The Cripple of Inishmaan
Dark Horse: The Cripple of Inishmaan