First Round of Tony Predictions

Having had a week to think about the 2011 Tony Awards race, I've come up with my first inclinations about who I think could win in each category. For some categories, I have narrowed it down to one winner. In others, I think there are two potential front runners and only time (and politics) can tell which will pull ahead. So, without further ado, here are my predictions about what I think will happen come June 12th.

Best Play -- War Horse (or maybe The Motherfucker With the Hat. Though I would really love Good People a strong chance here, I think the competition has a better chance.)

Best Musical -- Book of Mormon

Book of a Musical -- The Book of Mormon

Score -- Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown

Revival of a Play -- either The Merchant of Venice or The Normal Heart

Revival of a Musical -- Anything Goes

Lead Actor in a Play -- Mark Rylance for Jerusalem

Lead Actress in a Play -- Lily Rabe for The Merchant of Venice or Frances McDormand for Good People

Lead Actor in a Musical -- Tony Sheldon for Priscilla, Queen of the Desert

Lead Actress in a Musical -- Sutton Foster for Anything Goes

Featured Actor in a Play -- John Benjamin Hickey for The Normal Heart or Yul Vazquez for The Motherfucker With the Hat

Featured Actress in a Play -- Judith Light for Lombardi

Featured Actor in a Musical -- Rory O'Malley for The Book of Mormon or Coleman Domingo for The Scottsboro Boys

Featured Actress in a Musical -- Nikki James for The Book of Mormon

Scenic Design of a Play -- The Motherfucker With the Hat or War Horse

Scenic Design of a Musical -- The Book of Mormon or The Scottsboro Boys

Costume Design of a Play -- The Merchant of Venice or Born Yesterday

Costume Design of a Musical -- Priscilla, Queen of the Desert

Lighting Design of a Play -- War Horse

Lighting Design of a Musical -- The Book of Mormon

Sound Design of a Play -- Brief Encounter

Sound Design of a Musical -- The Book of Mormon

Director of a Play -- Joel Grey and George C. Wolfe for The Normal Heart or Anna D. Shapiro for The Motherfucker With the Hat

Director of a Musical -- Casey Nicholaw and Trey Parker for The Book of Mormon

Choreography -- Casey Nicholaw for The Book of Mormon

Orchestrations -- The Book of Mormon