First Tony Predictions

I know I usually put these up much sooner but this is a rather tough year for the Tony Awards, particularly with all the changes in the numbers of nominees in certain high-level categories.  With that in mind, here are my first predictions for the 2015 Tony Awards.

Best Play
Will Win: Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Should Win: Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Dark Horse: Hand to G-d

Best Musical
Will Win: Fun Home
Should Win: Fun Home
Dark Horse: An American in Paris

Best Revival of a Play

Will Win: You Can't Take it With You
Should Win: Skylight
Dark Horse: The Elephant Man

Best Revival of a Musical

Will Win: On the Town
Should Win: On the Twentieth Century
Dark Horse: On the Twentieth Century

Best Actor in a Play

Will Win: Alex Sharp, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Should Win: Alex Sharp, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Dark Horse: Steven Boyer, Hand to G-d

Best Actress in a Play

Will Win: Helen Mirren, The Audience
Should Win: Carey Mulligan, Skylight
Dark Horse: Carey Mulligan, Skylight

Best Featured Actor in a Play

Will Win: Richard McCabe, The Audience
Should Win: Richard McCabe, The Audience
Dark Horse: Alessandro Nivola, The Elephant Man

Best Featured Actress in a Play

Will Win: Annaleigh Ashford, You Can't Take it With You
Should Win: Annaleigh Ashford, You Can't Take it With You
Dark Horse: Julie White, Airline Highway

Best Actor in a Musical

Will Win: Robert Fairchild, An American in Paris
Should Win: Robert Fairchild, An American in Paris
Dark Horse: Tony Yazbeck, On the Town

Best Actress in a Musical

Will Win: Kristin Chenoweth, On the Twentieth Century
Should Win: Kristin Chenowith, On the Twentieth Century
Dark Horse: Kelli O'Hara, The King & I

Best Featured Actor in a Musical

Will Win: Andy Karl, On the Twentieth Century
Should Win: Christian Borle, Something Rotten!
Dark Horse: Max von Essen, An American in Paris

Best Featured Actress in a Musical

Will Win: Judy Kuhn, Fun Home
Should Win: Judy Kuhn, Fun Home
Dark Horse: Emily Skeggs, Fun Home

Best Director of a Play

Will Win: Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Should Win: Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Dark Horse: Stephen Daldry, Skylight

Best Director of a Musical

Will Win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris
Should Win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris
Dark Horse: Sam Gold, Fun Home

Best Book of a Musical

Will Win: Lisa Kron, Fun Home
Should Win: Lisa Kron, Fun Home
Dark Horse: Karey Kirkpatric and John O'Farrell, Something Rotten

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Will Win: Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron, Fun Home
Should Win: Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron, Fun Home
Dark Horse: Sting, The Last Ship

Best Choreography

Will Win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris
Should Win: Christopher Wheeldon, An American in Paris
Dark Horse: Joshua Bergasse, On the Town

Best Orchestrations

Will Win: John Clancy, Fun Home
Should Win: John Clancy, Fun Home
Dark Horse: Rob Mathes, The Last Ship

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Will Win: Bob Crowley, Skylight
Should Win: Bob Crowley, Skylight
Dark Horse: Bunny Christie & Finn Ross, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Will Win: Bob Crowley and 59 Productions, An American in Paris
Should Win: Bob Crowley and 59 Productions, An American in Paris
Dark Horse: David Zinn, Fun Home

Best Costume Design of a Play

Will Win: Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall
Should Win: Bob Crowley, The Audience
Dark Horse: Bob Crowley, The Audience

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Will Win: William Ivey Long, On the Twentieth Century
Should Win: William Ivey Long, On the Twentieth Century
Dark Horse: Catherine Zuber, The King and I

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Will Win: Paule Constable, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Should Win: Paule Constable, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Dark Horse: Natasha Katz, Skylight

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Will Win: Natasha Katz, An American in Paris
Should Win: Japhy Weideman, The Visit
Dark Horse: Ben Stanton, Fun Home